At A Glance
Holiday shopping in 2025 doesn’t follow one clear pattern, with shoppers blending early planning and last-minute purchases, digital discovery and in-store validation, and cautious spending. Marketers who embrace this complexity, by staying relevant, consistent, and connected across channels, will be best positioned to win this season.Holiday shopping in 2025 feels a lot like a complicated relationship. Shoppers want deals, but they also want trust. They start shopping early, but they’re still browsing well into December. They love the convenience of online shopping, but they still show up in-store before making the final call.
Our 2025 Holiday spending trends and insights report, created this year in collaboration with GroundTruth, explores these contradictions. Our findings show that this year’s holiday season isn’t about one big shift; it’s about managing the push and pull between what consumers say, what they do, and how marketers respond.
Here are three complicated truths you need to know.
Experian’s 2025 Holiday spending trends and insights report
Optimize your 2025 holiday shopping campaigns with our latest report with GroundTruth.
Download now1. The new rules of holiday timing
Almost half (45%) of consumers plan to start shopping before November, but 62% admit they’ll still be buying in December. And post-holiday shopping (think gift card redemptions and deal-hunting) remains a real factor.
Why it’s complicated
The holiday calendar isn’t what it used to be. There’s no single “big moment” anymore. Instead, shoppers are spreading purchases across months, peaking around the “Turkey 12” (the 12 days surrounding Thanksgiving) and again in the final December rush.
What to do about it
- Stretch your campaigns across the full season, not just Cyber Week.
- Refresh offers to stay relevant as shopper motivations change from deal-seeking to last-minute urgency.
- Watch for post-holiday momentum and extend your promotions into January.
How belVita nailed the timing
In celebration of National Coffee Day, belVita partnered with GroundTruth on a one-month campaign to boost product awareness and drive foot traffic to Target stores. By utilizing digital out-of-home (DOOH) and mobile ads powered by location, behavioral, and purchase-based targeting, the campaign achieved a 3.44% visitation rate, nearly $476k in products added to carts, and a low cost-per-visit of just $0.22.
2. Online leads, but in-store still seals the deal
Nearly 40% of shoppers say they’ll split their purchases between online and in-store and 80% of consumers still prefer the in-store experience. Only a small fraction plan to shop exclusively in one channel. That means while digital often starts the journey, the final decision often happens in a physical store.
Why it’s complicated
Shoppers love the convenience of browsing online, but they still want the reassurance of seeing, touching, or testing products before buying. In-store isn’t just about the transaction, it’s the validation step.
What to do about it
- Build omnichannel strategies that connect digital discovery with in-store follow-through.
- Use location and identity data to tie digital impressions to real-world actions, like foot traffic and purchases.
- Focus on consistency: shoppers expect the same value, tone, and trust whether they’re on a website, in an app, or standing in a store aisle.
How Duke Cannon used on-premise targeting to drive sales lift
Duke Cannon, a premium men’s grooming brand, partnered with GroundTruth to launch a successful multichannel campaign utilizing location-based and behavioral audience targeting across CTV and mobile screens to drive in-store visits and sales.
By targeting consumers with mobile ads while they were physically in-store, the company capitalized on high purchase intent, aiding in the 12% sales lift. This strategic approach resulted in over 43.9k provable in-store visits and a significant increase in sales.
3. Marketers double down, consumers hold back
This holiday season, expectations are split. 66% of marketers expect holiday spend to rise, but only 22% of consumers agree. While brands are leaning into bigger investments across CTV, retail media, and social, shoppers are staying cautious, weighing value and waiting for the right deal.
Why it’s complicated
That disconnect introduces risk. If marketers don’t align spend with real consumer behavior, budgets can get wasted in the rush to cover every channel. Shoppers haven’t stopped spending, but they’re spending differently. They’re trading down to discount and big-box retailers while cutting back in discretionary categories like apparel and restaurants.
What to do about it
- Prioritize efficiency by focusing on the right audiences, not just more impressions.
- Make consistency your advantage: reach people once and connect across platforms instead of chasing fragmented signals.
- Balance aggressive media investment with messaging that acknowledges consumer caution — shoppers want value and trust, not hype.
Measuring TV and streaming impact with iSpot
iSpot’s Audience Builder, powered by Experian’s Marketing Attributes, helps brands reach high-value audiences. During the holiday season, a luxury retailer could target $100K+ households with affluent lifestyle interests. With iSpot’s Unified Measurement platform, they can track performance across linear TV and streaming and shift spend in real time to maximize results.
The bottom line on 2025 holiday shopping trends
This year’s holiday shopping season is, well…complicated. Shoppers are cautious but still engaged. They’re early planners and last-minute browsers. They want the ease of digital, but the confidence of in-person.
For marketers, the opportunity lies in embracing that complexity, not trying to simplify it away. The brands that balance relevance, trust, and convenience across the full season and across every channel will be the ones that win.
Download our full 2025 Holiday spending trends and insights report to explore all five shifts shaping this season and see how you can turn complexity into opportunity.
About the author
Fred Cheung
Director, Partnership Sales, Audigent, a part of Experian
Fred Cheung has spent over a decade in the programmatic advertising space, with roles at Mindshare, Jounce Media, Twitter, and The Trade Desk. His deep experience in trading and product management helps in his current function on the Experian Marketing Services’ Sales team where he focuses on data growth and adoption across the industries’ leading buy-side platforms.
2025 holiday shopping trends FAQs
Because consumer behavior is full of contradictions. People will shop earlier but also later, browse online but purchase in-store, and want deals while demanding trust. Marketers need to navigate these push-and-pull dynamics.
Nearly half (45%) say they’ll start before November, but 62% admit they’ll still be buying in December, with momentum even continuing into January through gift card redemptions and deal-hunting.
Although many consumers begin online, the majority still make their final decisions in-store. In-person shopping acts as a validation step where customers can see, touch, or try products before buying.
Instead of focusing only on Black Friday or Cyber Week, marketers should stretch campaigns across the full season, refresh offers frequently, and continue promotions into January.
Not entirely. 66% of marketers expect spending to rise, but only 22% of consumers agree. Shoppers are cautious, prioritizing value and often trading down to discount or big-box retailers.
An omnichannel approach using identity and location data can bridge digital impressions with real-world actions like store visits and purchases, ensuring consistency across touchpoints.
Brands like belVita and Duke Cannon successfully tied digital campaigns to in-store results by utilizing precise audience targeting, location data, and well-timed promotions.
You can download Experian’s 2025 Holiday spending trends and insights report to explore all five shifts shaping this season.
Latest posts
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How should marketers adapt to third-party cookie deprecation? Even with Google’s pause, marketers should keep building privacy-first strategies. Focus on:- Strengthening first-party data through loyalty programs and preference centers.- Using Experian’s Digital Graph to connect audiences across devices and environments.- Activating with Consumer Sync® for consistent, privacy-safe engagement.- Collaborating securely through Experian’s data collaboration solutions, which allow brands to share insights responsibly. Latest posts
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Here are 6 audience segments that you can activate to target consumers focused on spring cleaning and home improvements: Purchase Transactions > Household Goods > Frequent Spenders Purchase Predictors > Shoppers All Channels > Home Maintenance and Improvement Purchase Transactions > DIY and Advice Seekers > High Spenders Purchase Transactions > Home Improvement/DIY > High Spenders Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Home Improvement & DIY > Hardware & Home Improvement Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Shopping Behavior > Big Box and Club Stores: Walmart Frequent Spenders Gardening Spring is the time when consumers are investing in gardening equipment for lawn care. Here are a few audience segments you can activate to target consumers focused on gardening: Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Home Improvement & DIY > Garden & Landscaping Stores: Frequent Spenders Lifestyle and Interests (Affinity) > Hobbies > Gardening Lifestyle and Interests (Affinity) > Moms, Parents, Families > Gardening Mothers Purchase Predictors > Shoppers All Channels > Lawn and Garden Movers and new homeowners Did you know? 44% of new homeowners are between the ages of 25-39*. Improve engagement for your spring targeting by pairing our new homeowner audiences with our Demographics > Ages > 25-29, 30-34, and 35-39 syndicated audiences. Here are a few you can activate now: Life Events > New Homeowners > Last 6 Months Life Events > New Movers > Last 12 Months Mother's Day: Unveil the perfect gift Appealing to the emotion of gratitude and love, Mother's Day is a significant occasion for marketers. Activate Experian syndicated audiences such as "Mother's Day Shoppers" and "Florists & Flower Gifts High Spenders" to tailor your spring advertising campaign toward those likely to purchase heartfelt gifts. Share ideas and promotions that resonate with the nurturing and caring spirit of this celebration. Here are 6 audience segments that you can activate to target consumers getting ready to celebrate Mother's Day: Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Seasonal > Mothers Day Shoppers Spenders Lifestyle and Interests (Affinity) > Moms, Parents, Families > Mothers with 2+ children Mobile Location Models > Visits > Mothers Day Shoppers Lifestyle and Interests (Affinity) > Moms, Parents, Families > Moms Age 25-54 Mobile Location Models > Visits > Jewelry Retail Stores Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Shopping Behavior > Florists & Flower Gifts: High Spenders Father's Day: Celebrate Dads in style Highlighting the significance of paternal bonds, Father's Day is an excellent opportunity to showcase thoughtful gifts and experiences. Engage the "Father's Day Shoppers" or "Growing and Expanding families" with content and products aligned with their interests. Craft a campaign that acknowledges the varied roles fathers play and the unique gifts they would appreciate. Here are 6 audience segments that you can activate to target consumers getting ready to celebrate Father's Day: Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Seasonal > Fathers Day Shoppers Spenders Mobile Location Models > Visits > Fathers Day Shoppers Mosaic – Personas – Lifestyle and Interests > Group M: Families in Motion > M45 – Growing and Expanding (Young, working-class families and single parent households that live in small city residences) Geo-Indexed > Demographics > Presence of Children: Ages: 7-9 Lifestyle and Interests (Affinity) > Activities and Entertainment > Home Improvement Spenders Life Events > New Parents > Child Age 0-36 Months Plan for the 2024 TV Upfronts When gearing up for the 2024 upfronts, you can expand your TV planning by incorporating diverse audience categories into your spring advertising campaigns. It's not just about targeting a demographic; it's about captivating your unique audience. Whether it's cord cutters, ad avoiders, avid streamers, or households that watch TV together, understanding and engaging with these distinct segments is paramount. To maximize impact, use comprehensive TV data that goes beyond broad demographics. Here are 6 audience segments that you can activate as part of your TV planning strategy: Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Entertainment > Streaming/Video/Audio/CTV/Cable TV: Cable/Broadcast TV: Cord Cutters: Recent Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Entertainment > Streaming/Video/Audio/CTV/Cable TV: Streaming Video: High Spenders Television (TV) > Ad Avoiders/Ad Acceptors > Ad Avoiders Television (TV) > TV Enthusiasts > Paid TV High Spenders Television (TV) > Ad Avoiders/Ad Acceptors > Ad Acceptors Television (TV) > Household/Family Viewing > Pay TV/vMVPD Subscribers Households To find consumers who are most likely to engage with your TV ads, you can layer in our TrueTouchTM engagement channel audiences: TrueTouch: Communication Preferences > Engagement Channel Preference > Digital Video TrueTouch: Communication Preferences > Engagement Channel Preference > Streaming TV Summer preparation: Anticipate the fun ahead As spring transitions to summer, help your audience gear up for the upcoming season. Target "Summer break travelers" or "Memorial Day Shoppers" with offerings that align with their summer plans. Whether it's fashion, travel essentials, or outdoor gear, position your brand as an essential companion for their summer adventures. Here are 6 audience segments that you can activate to target consumers getting ready for summer: Mobile Location Models > Visits > Summer Break Travelers Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Seasonal > Summer Sales Event Shoppers: Independence Day Shoppers Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Travel > Vacation/Leisure Travelers: Summer Trips Mosaic – Personas – Lifestyle and Interests > Group B: Flourishing Families > B09 – Family Fun-tastic (Upscale, middle-aged families with older children that live in suburban areas and lead busy lives focused on their children) Mobile Location Models > Visits > Memorial Day Shoppers Retail Shoppers: Purchase Based > Seasonal > Summer Sales Event Shoppers: High Spenders: Memorial Day Shoppers Did you know? Consumers between the age of 45-49 make up the largest percentage of top apparel shoppers*. Improve engagement for summer apparel shopping targeting by refining your audience with our Demographics > Ages > 45-49 syndicated audience. Spring into effective advertising with Experian’s syndicated audiences For spring advertising campaigns, understanding your audience is the key to success. By activating Experian's syndicated audiences, you can refine your approach and resonate by activating specific segments. Embrace our syndicated audiences so you deliver campaigns that not only capture attention but also build lasting connections with your audience. As you embark on this spring marketing journey, remember – the possibilities are as endless as the blossoming flowers. Connect with our audience team Need a custom audience? Reach out to our audience team and we can help you build and activate an Experian audience on the platform of your choice. Additionally, work with Experian’s network of data providers to build audiences and send to an Audigent PMP for activation. You can activate our syndicated audiences on-the-shelf of most major platforms. For a full list of Experian's syndicated audiences and activation destinations, download our syndicated audiences guide below. Download our syndicated audiences guide Check out other seasonal audiences you can activate today. Take me there Footnote *Experian looked at our demographic and purchase-based data to understand retail trends over the past year. Our demographic and purchase-based data covers credit and debit card usage across 500 top merchants. Latest posts