Retail media networks (RMNs) are on the brink of a major shift. While they are poised to capture over 20% of ad spend in 2025, on-site monetization won’t be the growth driver it once was. With advertisers consolidating spend among just six or seven RMNs on average, including giants like Amazon and Walmart, it’s hard for smaller RMNs to compete.
Off-site retail media ad spend is projected to grow 42.1% in 2025 – nearly three times the rate of on-site growth (15.1%), according to eMarketer’s November 2024 forecast. This dramatic shift underscores that while on-site placements are maturing, off-site is where the momentum (and money) is heading.
To remain competitive, RMNs must move beyond traditional, on-site placements and embrace a broader, more integrated approach to media activation. The future of retail media is about utilizing enriched first-party data to drive performance across the open web, connected TV (CTV), and other digital channels.
Break free from your owned and operated properties
Historically, RMNs have limited ad placements to their own digital properties. While this approach has delivered high-margin returns – on-site ad margins can reach 70-90%, compared to 20-40% for off-site – it’s also inherently limiting. Retailers only have so much owned inventory to sell, and advertisers demand greater scale and flexibility. As brands push for more reach, RMNs must extend their impact beyond owned-and-operated (O&O) properties.
Omnichannel retail media ad spending is forecast to hit $61.2 billion in 2025. Brands are looking beyond retail sites to build integrated, multi-channel strategies that drive results across the funnel.
eMarketer
Off-site doesn’t just mean digital. Walmart’s recent expansion of its Fuel and Convenience stations – planning to open or remodel 45 in 2025, bringing the total to 450 – shows how physical spaces are also becoming extensions of a retailer’s media network. These locations create new touchpoints where advertisers can engage shoppers with timely, context-aware messaging while they fuel up or grab a snack.
These quick-stop environments are ideal for limited-time offers or impulse-triggering messages – especially since 68% of U.S. adults say discounts contribute to their latest in-store impulse purchase.
Maximize the value of first-party data
One of retail media’s biggest promises is the power of first-party data for precision targeting. While on-site ads are inherently lower-funnel, off-site activation allows advertisers to move up the funnel and apply retailer customer data holistically across the open web.
For example, DoorDash and Macy’s now offer self-service audience data to advertisers via The Trade Desk, allowing brands to target consumers programmatically. Meanwhile, Walmart is taking a different approach – cloning The Trade Desk’s technology to maintain its walled garden. These moves demonstrate how retailers are rethinking data monetization strategies to scale beyond O&O limitations.
Drive new revenue streams with off-site activation
Off-site activation enables RMNs to drive incremental reach on channels where audiences are actively engaging, including CTV, programmatic display, and social media. This expansion allows brands to connect with consumers beyond retail websites.
Retailers are also utilizing non-endemic advertising opportunities in environments like gas stations and kiosks. Unlike traditional grocery or apparel aisles, these spaces are brand-neutral, allowing advertisers who don’t sell products in-store to still activate campaigns using retailer data. In fact, 53% of brands have already partnered with a retailer that doesn’t carry their product, and that number is expected to grow as advertisers seek new ways to tap into retail media’s rich targeting capabilities.
Retailers looking to extend the value of their data beyond O&O inventory have two primary off-site opportunities:
First, they can use an identity graph to resolve customer identifiers into addressable IDs that can be enriched with additional attributes and activated across channels like the open web and CTV. This allows retailers to find and reach known customers with relevant messaging outside of their owned platforms. For example, a grocery RMN can identify lapsed snack buyers and deliver streaming TV ads that reengage them on CTV platforms. CTV retail media ad spending alone is expected to grow 43.1% this year, reaching $4.86 billion, highlighting the appetite for video-based upper-funnel strategies.
Second, RMNs can broaden reach by activating first-party audiences, syndicated segments, or custom-built audiences through onboarding capabilities. These audiences can be sent to a variety of programmatic and CTV destinations, enabling advertisers to engage shoppers in high-impact environments. For example, a home improvement retailer can send its audience segments to programmatic ad exchanges, ensuring DIY shoppers see relevant offers even while browsing unrelated sites.
Together, these approaches allow retailers to monetize their data more effectively while giving brands the ability to reach consumers in moments that matter beyond just retail websites and apps.
Scale and measure success with data partnerships
For smaller RMNs to compete with larger players, they need more than just inventory – they need the ability to scale campaigns and prove performance. Data partnerships play a critical role in both expansion and measurement.
Measurement remains one of the biggest challenges for RMNs moving off-site. On-site retail media offers closed-loop attribution, but off-site activations introduce complexity. Retailers can work with an identity resolution partner like Experian to connect ad exposures to actual retail outcomes, such as store visits or purchases, across digital and physical environments. Whether it’s through pixels placed on campaign ads or TV impression logs, these connections help RMNs demonstrate real impact.
This approach helps unify disparate data – such as a CTV ad exposure and a subsequent online or in-store purchase – into a clear, measurable outcome. These insights not only show what’s working, but help RMNs optimize future campaigns and provide advertisers with transparent, third-party-validated reporting.
As retailers like Walmart integrate loyalty programs like Walmart+ into their physical extensions, they gain valuable behavioral insights into how customers shop across formats – from fueling up to filling carts. These data signals help refine identity graphs and improve measurement across increasingly hybrid consumer journeys.
Beyond ads: The data monetization opportunity
Smaller RMNs may struggle to scale ad-supported revenue, but there’s another path forward: Data-as-a-Service (DaaS). Providing anonymized, privacy-compliant audience insights to brands offers a high-margin, scalable revenue stream. In fact, some retailers are already embracing this model by licensing their data to programmatic platforms.
A playbook for smaller RMNs to win off-site
The future of retail media belongs to those who harness data to influence consumer behavior across all digital marketing channels. To succeed, RMNs should focus on:
- Moving beyond owned inventory: Activate first-party data across CTV, social, and programmatic channels to meet advertisers where their audiences are.
- Expanding reach through partnerships: Collaborate with identity resolution providers to maximize match rates and campaign effectiveness.
- Building a full-funnel offering: Position off-site retail media as a brand-building play, tapping into ad budgets that traditionally fund upper-funnel campaigns.
- Monetizing data, not just ads: Explore DaaS models to generate passive revenue.
The time to move off-site is now
Retailers that wait too long to embrace off-site activation risk falling behind. Those that expand beyond their owned inventory, invest in off-site data strategies, and build strategic partnerships will be the ones that shape the future of retail media.
Experian isn’t just part of the RMN conversation. We’re driving it. Let’s talk.
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Originally appeared on MarTech Series Marketing’s understanding of identity has evolved rapidly over the past decade, much like the shifting media landscape itself. From the early days of basic direct mail targeting to today's complex omnichannel environment, identity has become both more powerful and more fragmented. Each era has brought new tools, challenges, and opportunities, shaping how brands interact with their customers. We’ve moved from traditional media like mail, newspapers, and linear/network TV, to cable TV, the internet, mobile devices, and apps. Now, multiple streaming platforms dominate, creating a far more complex media landscape. As a result, understanding the customer journey and reaching consumers across these various touchpoints has become increasingly difficult. Managing frequency and ensuring effective communication across channels is now more challenging than ever. This development has led to a fragmented view of the consumer, making it harder for marketers to ensure that they are reaching the right audience at the right time while also avoiding oversaturation. Marketers must now navigate a fragmented customer journey across multiple channels, each with its own identity signals, to stitch together a cohesive view of the customer. Let’s break down this evolution, era by era, to understand how identity has progressed—and where it’s headed. 2010-2015: The rise of digital identity – Cookies and MAIDs Between 2010 and 2015, the digital era fundamentally changed how marketers approached identity. Mobile usage surged during this time, and programmatic advertising emerged as the dominant method for reaching consumers across the internet. The introduction of cookies and mobile advertising IDs (MAIDs) became the foundation for tracking users across the web and mobile apps. With these identifiers, marketers gained new capabilities to deliver targeted, personalized messages and drive efficiency through programmatic advertising. This era gave birth to powerful tools for targeting. Marketers could now follow users’ digital footprints, regardless of whether they were browsing on desktop or mobile. This leap in precision allowed brands to optimize spend and performance at scale, but it came with its limitations. Identity was still tied to specific browsers or devices, leaving gaps when users switched platforms. The fragmentation across different devices and the reliance on cookies and MAIDs meant that a seamless, unified view of the customer was still out of reach. 2015-2020: The age of walled gardens From 2015 to 2020, the identity landscape grew more complex with the rise of walled gardens. Platforms like Facebook, Google, and Amazon created closed ecosystems of first-party data, offering rich, self-declared insights about consumers. These platforms built massive advertising businesses on the strength of their user data, giving marketers unprecedented targeting precision within their environments. However, the rise of walled gardens also marked the start of new challenges. While these platforms provided detailed identity solutions within their walls, they didn’t communicate with one another. Marketers could target users with pinpoint accuracy inside Facebook or Google, but they couldn’t connect those identities across different ecosystems. This siloed approach to identity left marketers with an incomplete picture of the customer journey, and brands struggled to piece together a cohesive understanding of their audience across platforms. The promise of detailed targeting was tempered by the fragmentation of the landscape. Marketers were dealing with disparate identity solutions, making it difficult to track users as they moved between these closed environments and the open web. 2020-2025: The multi-ID landscape – CTV, retail media, signal loss, and privacy By 2020, the identity landscape had splintered further, with the rise of connected TV (CTV) and retail media adding even more complexity to the mix. Consumers now engaged with brands across an increasing number of channels—CTV, mobile, desktop, and even in-store—and each of these channels had its own identifiers and systems for tracking. Simultaneously, privacy regulations are tightening the rules around data collection and usage. This, coupled with the planned deprecation of third-party cookies and MAIDs has thrown marketers into a state of flux. The tools they had relied on for years were disappearing, and new solutions had yet to fully emerge. The multi-ID landscape was born, where brands had to navigate multiple identity systems across different platforms, devices, and environments. Retail media networks became another significant player in the identity game. As large retailers like Amazon and Walmart built their own advertising ecosystems, they added yet another layer of first-party data to the mix. While these platforms offer robust insights into consumer behavior, they also operate within their own walled gardens, further fragmenting the identity landscape. With cookies and MAIDs being phased out, the industry began to experiment with alternatives like first-party data, contextual targeting, and new universal identity solutions. The challenge and opportunity for marketers lies in unifying these fragmented identity signals to create a consistent and actionable view of the customer. 2025: The omnichannel imperative Looking ahead to 2025 and beyond, the identity landscape will continue to evolve, but the focus remains the same: activating and measuring across an increasingly fragmented and complex media environment. Consumers now expect seamless, personalized experiences across every channel—from CTV to digital to mobile—and marketers need to keep up. The future of identity lies in interoperability, scale, and availability. Marketers need solutions that can connect the dots across different platforms and devices, allowing them to follow their customers through every stage of the journey. Identity must be actionable in real-time, allowing for personalization and relevance across every touchpoint, so that media can be measurable and attributable. Brands that succeed in 2025 and beyond will be those that invest in scalable, omnichannel identity solutions. They’ll need to embrace privacy-friendly approaches like first-party data, while also ensuring their systems can adapt to an ever-changing landscape. Adapting to the future of identity The evolution of identity has been marked by increasing complexity, but also by growing opportunity. As marketers adapt to a world without third-party cookies and MAIDs, the need for unified identity solutions has never been more urgent. Brands that can navigate the multi-ID landscape will unlock new levels of efficiency and personalization, while those that fail to adapt risk falling behind. The path forward is clear: invest in identity solutions that bridge the gaps between devices, platforms, and channels, providing a full view of the customer. The future of marketing belongs to those who can manage identity in a fragmented world—and those who can’t will struggle to stay relevant. 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