Tag: recession proofing

Experian’s own Chris Ryan and Bobbie Paul recently joined David Mattei from Aite to discuss the latest research and insights into emerging fraud schemes and how businesses can combat them in light of COVID-19 and the resulting economic changes. Between them, Chris, Bobbie, and David have more than 60 years of experience in the world of fraud prevention. Listen in as they discuss how businesses can shape their fraud prevention plan in the short term, including: The impacts of the health crisis and physical distancing The rise of e-commerce and consumer digital engagement Changes in criminal activity Fraud attack vectors 2020 fraud loss projections Critical next steps for the 30-60 day time frame Experian · Make Your Fraud Plan Recession-Ready: 2020 Fraud Trends

In the face of severe financial stress, such as that brought about by an economic downturn, lenders seeking to reduce their credit risk exposure often resort to tactics executed at the portfolio level, such as raising credit score cut-offs for new loans or reducing credit limits on existing accounts. What if lenders could tune their portfolio throughout economic cycles so they don’t have to rely on abrupt measures when faced with current or future economic disruptions? Now they can. The impact of economic downturns on financial institutions Historically, economic hardships have directly impacted loan performance due to differences in demand, supply or a combination of both. For example, let’s explore the Great Recession of 2008, which challenged financial institutions with credit losses, declines in the value of investments and reductions in new business revenues. Over the short term, the financial crisis of 2008 affected the lending market by causing financial institutions to lose money on mortgage defaults and credit to consumers and businesses to dry up. For the much longer term, loan growth at commercial banks decreased substantially and remained negative for almost four years after the financial crisis. Additionally, lending from banks to small businesses decreased by 18 percent between 2008-2011. And – it was no walk in the park for consumers. Already faced with a rise in unemployment and a decline in stock values, they suddenly found it harder to qualify for an extension of credit, as lenders tightened their standards for both businesses and consumers. Are you prepared to navigate and successfully respond to the current environment? Those who prove adaptable to harsh economic conditions will be the ones most poised to lead when the economy picks up again. Introducing the FICO® Resilience Index The FICO® Resilience Index provides an additional way to evaluate the quality of portfolios at any point in an economic cycle. This allows financial institutions to discover and manage potential latent risk within groups of consumers bearing similar FICO® Scores, without cutting off access to credit for resilient consumers. By incorporating the FICO® Resilience Index into your lending strategies, you can gain deeper insight into consumer sensitivity for more precise credit decisioning. What are the benefits? The FICO® Resilience Index is designed to assess consumers with respect to their resilience or sensitivity to an economic downturn and provides insight into which consumers are more likely to default during periods of economic stress. It can be used by lenders as another input in credit decisions and account strategies across the credit lifecycle and can be delivered with a credit file, along with the FICO® Score. No matter what factors lead to an economic correction, downturns can result in unexpected stressors, affecting consumers’ ability or willingness to repay. The FICO® Resilience Index can easily be added to your current FICO® Score processes to become a key part of your resilience-building strategies. Learn more

Originally posted by Experian Global News blog At Experian, we have an unwavering commitment to helping consumers and clients manage through this unprecedented period. We are actively working with consumers, lenders, lawmakers and regulators to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores during times of financial hardship. In response to the urgent and rapid changes associated with COVID-19, we are accelerating and enhancing our financial education programming to help consumers maintain good credit and gain access to the financial services they need. This is in addition to processes and tools the industry has in place to help lenders accommodate situations where consumers are affected by circumstances beyond their control. These processes will be extended to those experiencing financial hardship as a result of COVID-19. As the Consumer’s Credit Bureau, our commitment at Experian is to inform, guide and protect our consumers and customers during uncertain times. With expected delays in bill payments, unprecedented layoffs, hiring freezes and related hardships, we are here to help consumers in understanding how the credit reporting system and personal finance overall will move forward in this landscape. One way we’re doing this is inviting everyone to join our special eight-week series of #CreditChat conversations surrounding COVID-19 on Wednesdays at 3 p.m. ET on Twitter. Our weekly #CreditChat program started in 2012 to help the community learn about credit and important personal finance topics (e.g. saving money, paying down debt, improving credit scores). The next several #CreditChats will be dedicated to discussing ways to manage finances and credit during the pandemic. Topics of these #CreditChats will include methods and strategies for bill repayment, paying down debt, emergency financial assistance and preparing for retirement during COVID-19. “As the consumer’s credit bureau, we are committed to working with consumers, lenders and the financial community during and following the impacts of COVID-19,” says Craig Boundy, Chief Executive Officer of Experian North America. “As part of our nation’s new reality, we are planning for options to help mitigate the potential impact on credit scores due to financial hardships seen nationwide. Our #CreditChat series and supporting resources serve as one of several informational touchpoints with consumers moving forward.” Being fully committed to helping consumers and lenders during this unprecedented period, we’ve created a dedicated blog page, “COVID-19 and Your Credit Report,” with ongoing and updated information on how COVID-19 may impact consumers’ creditworthiness and – ultimately – what people should do to preserve it. The blog will be updated with relevant news as we announce new solutions and tactics. Additionally, our “Ask Experian” blog invites consumers to explore immediate and evolving resources on our COVID-19 Updates page. In addition to this guidance, and with consumer confidence in the economy expected to decline, we will be listening closely to the expert voices in our Consumer Council, a group of leaders from organizations committed to helping consumers on their financial journey. We established a Consumer Council in 2009 to strengthen our relationships and to initiate a dialogue among Experian and consumer advocacy groups, industry experts, academics and other key stakeholders. This is in addition to ongoing collaboration with our regulators. Additionally, our Experian Education Ambassador program enables hundreds of employee volunteers to serve as ambassadors sharing helpful information with consumers, community groups and others. The goal is to help the communities we serve across North America, providing the knowledge consumers need to better manage their credit, protect themselves from fraud and identity theft and lead more successful, financially healthy lives. COVID-19 has impacted all industries and individuals from all walks of life. We want our community to know we are right there with you. Learn more about our weekly #CreditChat and upcoming schedule here. Learn more

Do you have 20/20 vision when it comes to the readiness of your organization? How financially healthy are your customers today? They are likely facing some challenges and difficult choices. Based on a study by the Center for Financial Services Innovation (CFSI), almost half of the US adult population - that’s 112.5 million - say they do not have enough savings to cover at least three months of living expenses. With debt rising and a possible recession on the horizon, it’s crucial to have a solid strategy in place for your organization. Here are three easy steps to help you prepare: Anticipate the recession before it arrives Gathering a complete view of your customers can be difficult if you have multiple systems, which can result in subjective, costly and inefficient processes. If you don’t have a full picture of your customers, it’s hard to understand their risk, behavior and ability to pay and to determine the most effective treatment decisions. Having the right data is only the first step. Using analytics to make sense of the data helps you better understand your customers at an individual level, which will increase recovery rates and improve the customer experience. Analytics can provide early-warning indicators that identify customers most likely to miss payments, predict future behavior, and deliver the best treatment option based on a customer’s specific situation or behavior. With a deeper understanding of at-risk customers, you can apply more targeted interventions that are specific to each customer, so you can be confident your collections process is individualized, efficient and fair. The result? A cost-effective, compliant process focused on retaining valuable customers and reducing losses.   What to look for: ✔ Know when customers are experiencing negative credit events ✔ View consumer credit trends that may not yet be visible on your own account base ✔ Watch for payment stress – understand the actual payment consumers are making. Is it changing? ✔ See individual trends and take action – are your customers sliding down to a lower score band? ✔ Understand how your client-base is performing within your own portfolio and with other organizations   Take immediate and impactful actions around risk mitigation and staffing Every interaction with consumers needs optimizing, from target marketing through to collections and recovery. Organizations that proactively modernize their business to scale and increase effectiveness before the next economic downturn may avoid struggling to address rising delinquencies when the economy corrects itself. This may improve portfolio performance and collection capabilities — significantly increasing recoveries, containing costs and sustaining returns. Identify underperforming products and inefficient processes by staff. Consider reassessing the data used and the manual processes required for making decisions. Optimize product pricing and areas where organizations or staff could automate the decision processes.   Areas to focus: ✔ Identity theft protection and account takeover awareness ✔ Improve underwriting strategy and automation ✔ Maximize profitability — drive spend, optimize approvals, line assignment and pricing ✔ Evaluate collection risk strategies and operational efficiencies   Design and deploy a strategy to be organizationally and technologically ready for change Communication is key in debt recovery. Failing to contact customers via their preferred channel can cause frustration and reduce the likelihood of recovery. Your customers are looking for a convenient and discreet way to negotiate or repay debt, and if you aren’t providing one, you’re incurring higher collections costs and lower recovery rates. With developments in the digital world, consumer interactions have changed. Most people prefer to communicate via mobile or online, with little to no human interaction. Behavioral analytics help to automate and decide the next best action, so you contact the right customer at the right time through the right channel. In addition, offering a convenient, discreet way to negotiate or repay debt can result in customers who are more engaged and more likely to pay. Online and self-service portals along with AI-powered chatbots use the latest technology to provide a safe and customer-centric experience, creating less time-consuming interactions and higher customer satisfaction. Your digital collections process is more convenient and less stressful for consumers and more profitable and compliant for you. Visualize the future... ✔ Superior customer service is embraced at the end of the customer life cycle as it is in the beginning ✔ Leverage data, analytics, software, and industry expertise to drive an automated collections process with fewer manual interventions ✔ Meet the growing expectation for digital consumer self-service by providing the ability to proactively negotiate and manage debt through preferred contact channels ✔ When economy and market conditions change for the worst, have the right data, analytics, software in place and be prepared to implement relevant collections strategies to remain competitive in the market   Don’t wait until the next recession hits. Our collaborative approach to problem solving ensures you have the right solution in place to solve your most complex problems and are ready for market changes. The combination of our data, analytics, fraud tools, decisioning software and consulting services will help you proactively manage your portfolio to minimize the flow of accounts into collections and modernize your collections and recovery processes. Learn More

As consumers prepare for the next decade, we look at how we’re rounding out this year. The results? The average American credit score is 682, an eight-year high. Experian released the 10th annual state of credit report, which provides a comprehensive look at the credit performance of consumers across America by highlighting consumer credit scores and borrowing behaviors. And while the data is spliced to show men vs. women, as well as provides commentary at the state and generational level, the overarching trend is up. Even with the next anticipated economic correction often top of mind for financial institutions, businesses and consumers alike, 2019 was a year marked by more access, more spending and decreasing delinquencies. Things are looking up. “We are seeing a promising trend in terms of how Americans are managing their credit as we head into a new decade with average credit scores increasing two points since 2018 to 682 – the highest we’ve seen since 2011,” said Shannon Lois, Senior Vice President and Head of EAS, Analytics, Consulting & Operations for Experian Decision Analytics. “Average credit card balances and debt are up year over year, yet utilization rates remain consistent at 30 percent, indicating consumers are using credit as a financial tool and managing their debts responsibly.”   Highlights of Experian’s State of Credit report: 3-year comparison 2017 2018 2019   Average number of credit cards 3.06 3.04 3.07 Average credit card balances $6,354 $6,506 $6,629 Average number of retail credit cards 2.48 2.59 2.51 Average retail credit card balances $1,841 $1,901 $1,942 Average VantageScore® credit score[1, 2] 675 680 682 Average revolving utilization 30% 30% 30% Average nonmortgage debt[3] $24,706 $25,104 $25,386 Average mortgage debt $201,811 $208,180 $231,599 Average 30 days past due delinquency rates 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% Average 60 days past due delinquency rates 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% Average 90+ days past due delinquency rates 7.3% 6.7% 6.8%   In the scope of the credit score battle of the sexes, women have a four-point lead over men with an average credit score of 686 compared to 682. Their lead is a continued trend since 2017 where they’ve bested their male counterparts. According to the report, while men carry more non-mortgage and mortgage debt than women, women have more credit cards and retail cards (albeit they carry lower balances). Generationally, Generations X, Y and Z tend to carry more debt, including mortgage, non-mortgage, credit card and retail card, than older generations with higher delinquency and utilization rates. Segmented by state and gender, Minnesota had the highest credit scores for both men and women, while Mississippi was the state with the lowest average credit score for females and Louisiana was the lowest average credit score state for males.     As we round out the decade and head full-force into 2020, we can reflect on the changes in the past year alone that are helping consumers improve their financial health. Just to name a few: Experian launched Experian BoostTM in March, allowing millions of consumers to add positive payment history directly to their credit file for an opportunity to instantly increase their credit score. Since then, there has been over 13 million points boosted across America. Experian LiftTM was launched in November, designed to help credit invisible and thin-file consumers gain access to fair and affordable credit. Long-standing commitments to consumer education, including the Ask Experian Blog and volunteer work by Experian’s Education Ambassadors, continue to offer assistance to the community and help consumers better understand their financial actions. From what we can tell, this is just the beginning. “Understanding the factors that influence their overall credit profile can help consumers improve and maintain their financial health,” said Rod Griffin, Experian’s director of consumer education and awareness. “Credit can be used as a financial tool. Through this report, we hope to provide insights that will help consumers make more informed decisions about credit use as we prepare to head into a new decade.” Learn more 1 VantageScore® is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC. 2 VantageScore® credit score range is 300 to 850. 3 Average debt for this study includes all credit cards, auto loans and personal loans/student loans.

It's been over 10 years since the start of the Great Recession. However, its widespread effects are still felt today. While the country has rebounded in many ways, its economic damage continues to influence consumers. Discover the Great Recession’s impact across generations: Americans of all ages have felt the effects of the Great Recession, making it imperative to begin recession proofing and better prepare for the next economic downturn. There are several steps your organization can take to become recession resistant and help your customers overcome personal financial difficulties. Are you ready should the next recession hit? Get started today